The NEAR Program>Electricity Forecasting Insights for the National Electricity Market

Report

Electricity Forecasting Insights for the National Electricity Market

Electricity consumption and demand forecasts for each National Electricity Market region over a 20-year period.

PublishedJun 2017
Location NSW, Qld, SA, Tas, Vic
Author(s)
Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO)
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Citation

Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO), 2017, Electricity Forecasting Insights for the National Electricity Market, AEMO.

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Full description

The report summarises the 20-year electricity forecast for the National Energy Market. The forecasts examine weak, neutral and strong growth scenarios, based on population growth, economic growth, and the speed of distributed energy and technology uptake (including rooftop solar, electric vehicles and energy efficiency). Forecasts include forward-estimates for annual operational consumption, minimum demand and peak demand (noting that operational consumption refers only to electricity supplied by scheduled, semi-scheduled and significant non-scheduled generators).

The report provides commentary on potential changes in residential and commercial sector energy consumption and reflects on the potential impact of existing and emerging demand-side technologies, such as solar PV and storage.

Note that in previous years, AEMO published equivalent reports under the name "National Electricity Forecasting Report" (commonly referred to as "NEFR").

Please review the important notice in the front section of the report, which describes appropriate uses of the report and related data.

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