The report summarises preliminary outputs from the estimation of half-hourly thermostatically controlled load (predominantly air-conditioning) demand for more than a thousand zone substations across Australia for 2013. The estimation methodology described in the report draws upon and extends the approach developed by the EUDM team in FY15/16 (see the Related Resources listing on this page). A key extension here is the development of a methodology for the selection of temperature data necessary to drive the process.

Preliminary findings indicate the characteristics of air-conditioning load across Australia, including estimates of the mean values of set-point temperature and power ratings for air-conditioning systems in each of 14 distinct distribution network supply areas. Note that these preliminary findings have been improved upon, using consistent zone substation data cleaned and translated by the EUDM team. Complete datasets for these more recent outputs are available in EUDM and are noted in the Related Resources listing on this page.

The report also includes an estimate of air-conditioning characteristics by demographic, climate zone, occupancy pattern, air-conditioner type, and solar PV uptake for Smart Grid Smart City (SGSC) participants.

Finally, the report provides an extension of the initial gross solar PV estimation methodology developed in FY15/16 together with an initial analysis of performance.

Note that all results reflect estimates only.